Mar 18, 2025
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17 min read
Build integral priors with reference analysis for model comparison without prior knowledge
Feb 11, 2025
6 min read
Apply a modified version of the LARS algorithm to efficiently find the exact hyperparameter that minimize leave-one-out prediction error.
Oct 23, 2024
12 min read
How to build a polls-only objective Bayesian model that goes from state polling lead to probability of winning the state.
Oct 1, 2024
21 min read
Derive an objective prior for the difference of two binomial distribution proportions
Sep 3, 2024
23 min read
Use Chebyshev interpolants and adaptive sparse grids to efficiently approximate smooth functions of multiple variables
Aug 17, 2024
27 min read
How to derive posterior probabilities for hypotheses using default Bayes factors
Aug 14, 2024
38 min read
How to calculate probability when "we absolutely know nothing antecedently to any trials made" (Bayes, 1763)
